James:My assumption is that most solar is in big installations and is tracked. However, even if the right capacity factor answer was 20% rather than 30%, it doesn't materially change the situation - just wait another year.I see the really big barrier as going from providing supplemental power to help meet peak load in sunny places, which doesn't require a lot of grid, to having sun/wind do everything, which requires a ton of grid.I don't disagree that growth will slow down at some point, of course. I just think we should do everything possible to keep it from slowing down. |